Canadian Housing Market Rebound
Home buyers and sellers have gradually become more active in each month of the COVID-19 pandemic. In June, home sale and listing activity in Metro Vancouver* returned to more historically typical levels.
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 2,443 in June 2020, a 17.6 per cent increase from the 2,077 sales recorded in June 2019, and a 64.5 per cent increase from the 1,485 homes sold in May 2020.
Last month’s sales were 21.9 per cent below the 10-year June sales average.
“REALTORS® continue to optimize new technology tools and practices to help their clients meet their housing needs in a safe and responsible way,” Colette Gerber, REBGV Chair said “Over the last three months, home buyers and sellers have become more comfortable operating within the physical distancing and other safety protocols in place.”
There were 5,787 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in June 2020. This represents a 21.8 per cent increase compared to the 4,751 homes listed in June 2019 and a 57.1 per cent increase compared to May 2020 when 3,684 homes were listed.
The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 11,424, a 23.7 per cent decrease compared to June 2019 (14,968) and a 15.1 per cent increase compared to May 2020 (9,927).
“Much more of the real estate transaction is happening virtually today. Before considering an in-person showing, REALTORS® are helping potential buyers pre-screen homes more thoroughly by taking video tours, reviewing floorplans and an increased number of high-resolution images, as well as often driving through the neighborhood.”
For all property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for June 2020 is 21.4 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 19.9 per cent for detached homes, 25.2 per cent for townhomes, and 21.3 per cent for apartments.
Generally, analysts say downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.
“Home prices have remained steady with minimal fluctuation over the last few months,” Gerber said. “With increasing demand, REALTORS® have begun seeing multiple offers for homes priced competitively for today’s market.”
The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,025,300. This represents a 3.5 per cent increase over June 2019 and a 0.3 per cent decrease compared to May 2020.
Sales of detached homes in June 2020 reached 866, a 16.1 per cent increase from the 746 detached sales recorded in June 2019. The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,464,200. This represents a 3.6 per cent increase from June 2019 and a 0.5 per cent increase compared to May 2020.
Sales of apartment homes reached 1,105 in June 2020, a 17.4 per cent increase compared to the 941 sales in June 2019. The benchmark price of an apartment property is $680,800. This represents a 3.6 per cent increase from June 2019 and a 0.8 per cent decrease compared to May 2020.
Attached home sales in June 2020 totalled 472, a 21 per cent increase compared to the 390 sales in June 2019. The benchmark price of an attached home is $790,800.
This represents a 2.3 per cent increase from June 2019 and a 0.2 per cent decrease compared to May 2020.
Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver
Here’s a couple of Global News reports yesterday ……..
Latest CMHC numbers show COVID-19 pandemic has frozen real estate markets
https://globalnews.ca/video/7100197/latest-cmhc-numbers-show-covid-19-pandemic-has-frozen-real-estate-markets
BC Government makes changes to Strata Insurance https://globalnews.ca/video/rd/d4270b26-b5bd-11ea-8661-0242ac110004/?jwsource=em
Here’s a couple of interesting articles regarding the economics of it all:
1st there’s the micro-economics – https://www.msn.com/en-ca/finance/finance-top-stories/analysis-a-looming-coronavirus-debt-crisis-could-swamp-canadian-households/ar-BB15aofo?ocid=NL_ENCA_A1_20200610_1_2&bep_ref=1&bep_csid=18605
Secondly here’s the macro-economics – https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/parliamenthill/why-canada-might-need-a-temporary-covid-19-tax-and-repayment-fund/ar-BB15cXgb?ocid=NL_ENCA_A1_20200610_2_2&bep_ref=1&bep_csid=18605
& lastly here’s a forecast for BC Housing – https://www.bcrea.bc.ca/economics/bcrea-2020-second-quarter-housing-forecast-bc-homes-sales-to-post-strong-recovery-in-2021/
In summary: there’s concerns about the climbing consumer debt & job losses but the government debt to curb the impact, albeit huge, can be managed. The forecast for our local market is looking better than expected but may be too soon to tell.
There’s a tremendous amount of information & predictions which can be confusing. I’m here to help you navigate these uncertain times. Call, text or email me anytime to assist.
Metro Vancouver home prices have remained steady since provincial health officials implemented physical distancing requirements in March.
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that the MLS® Home Price Index1 composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver today is $1,028,400. This is virtually unchanged from April 2020, a 1.4 per cent increase over the last three months, and a 2.9 per cent increase compared to May 2019.
“Home prices have been stable during the COVID-19 period,” Colette Gerber, REBGV Chair said. “While we’re seeing a variety of long-term projections for the market, it’s critical to understand the facts and trends as they emerge.”
Residential home sales in the region totalled 1,485 in May 2020, a 43.7 per cent decrease from the 2,638 sales recorded in May 2019 and a 33.9 per cent increase from the 1,109 homes sold in April 2020.
Last month’s sales were 54.4 per cent below the 10-year May sales average.
“Home sale and listing activity is down compared to typical, long-term levels and up compared to the activity we saw in April 2020,” Gerber said. “Home buyers and sellers are adapting today, becoming more comfortable operating with the physical distancing requirements that are in place in the market.”
There were 3,684 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in May 2020. This represents a 37.1 per cent decrease compared to the 5,861 homes listed in May 2019 and a 59.3 per cent increase compared to April 2020 when 2,313 homes were listed.
“Home buyers and sellers are working with their REALTORS® to use new tools to complete different stages of the real estate transaction virtually,” Gerber said. “When in-person interactions are necessary, we’re working with our clients to follow the physical distancing requirements set out by WorkSafeBC and the provincial health officer.”
The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 9,927, a 32.4 per cent decrease compared to May 2019 (14,685) and a 5.7 per cent increase compared to April 2020 (9,389).
For all housing types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for May 2020 is 15 per cent. By housing type, the ratio is 13.5 per cent for detached homes, 18.9 per cent for townhomes, and 14.8 per cent for apartments.
Generally, analysts say downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.
Sales and benchmark prices by property type
Sales of detached homes in May 2020 reached 534, a 41.5 per cent decrease from the 913 detached sales recorded in May 2019. The benchmark price for detached properties is $1,456,700. This is a 0.3 per cent increase from April 2020, a 2.2 per cent increase over the past three months, and a 2.9 per cent increase compared to May 2019.
Sales of apartment homes reached 653 in May 2020, a 47.6 per cent decrease compared to the 1,246 sales in May 2019. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $686,500. This is a 0.3 per cent decrease from April 2020, a 0.9 per cent increase over the past three months, and a three per cent increase compared to May 2019.
Attached home sales in May 2020 totalled 298, a 37.8 per cent decrease compared to the 479 sales in May 2019. The benchmark price of an attached home is $792,700. This is a 0.2 per cent increase from April 2020, a 1.2 per cent increase over the past three months, and a 1.8 per cent increase compared to May 2019.
Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver
Some good info here – check it out: https://www.realtor.ca/blog/category/3195/COVID-19/page/1
No one wants to be bothered or hounded when they are searching for a new home. Most buyer’s want to quietly search on their own before engaging the services of a realtor. That makes sense if you are just surfing the internet casually, but if you are out actively looking it’s best to get your own representation.
Dual Agency has effectively been banned in most populated areas of B.C. If you are communicating directly with the listing agent or at Open House (when re-instituted) – remember the listing agent represent the seller. They are obligated to tell you that but may not stop you in time before you innocently release personal info about your buying motivation or qualifications. They must share this info with their client, the seller.
You may have a realtor in mind who you want to use but don’t want to bother them until you have narrowed your search. Looking on your own may limit the compensation for your realtor in certain situations. Some listing agents convince their seller to modify the Buyer’s Realtor commission as such, “….with physical introduction to the property and all subsequent showings, otherwise $500.00.” This amount will typically vary significantly from the usual fee offered to the Buyer’s agent. Leaving your preferred realtor with the question….. Is it worth the time, effort & risk to assist?
Don’t be afraid to engage the services of your realtor early in the search so they can direct you properly. This typically won’t cost you anything. Most buyer agents are paid by the seller when you purchase.
Get independent, objective & professional info before you actively start searching. Let my experience go to work for you & get the representation you deserve. See more details here – http://www.home-buying-agent.com
Home sales and listings down amid COVID-19, new tools and practices emerge to help buyers and sellers adapt
While Metro Vancouver home sale and listing activity remains limited by the COVID-19 situation, REALTORS® across the region are fast adopting new tools and practices to help advise and serve their clients in a responsible way.
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 1,109 in April 2020, a 39.4 per cent decrease from the 1,829 sales recorded in April 2019, and a 56.1 per cent decrease from the 2,524 homes sold in March 2020.
Last month’s sales were 62.7 per cent below the 10-year April sales average and was the lowest total for the month since 1982.
“Predictably, the number of home sales and listings declined in April given the physical distancing measures in place,” Colette Gerber, REBGV’s president-elect said. “People are, however, adapting. They’re working with their Realtors to get information, advice and to explore their options so that they’re best positioned in the market during and after this pandemic.”
Realtors have been named an essential service by the provincial government to help the home buying and selling community meet their housing needs during the pandemic.
“We’re seeing more innovation in today’s market, with Realtors using different technology to showcase homes virtually, assess neighbourhood amenities with their clients and handle paperwork electronically,” Gerber said.
There were 2,313 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in April. This represents a 59.7 per cent decrease compared to the 5,742 homes listed in April 2019 and a 47.9 per cent decrease compared to March 2020 when 4,436 homes were listed.
The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 9,389, a 34.6 per cent decrease compared to April 2019 (14,357) and a 2.3 per cent decrease compared to March 2020 (9,606).
For all property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for April 2020 is 11.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 10 per cent for detached homes, 14.7 per cent for townhomes, and 12.4 per cent for apartments.
Generally, analysts say downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.
The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,036,000. This represents a 2.5 per cent increase over April 2019 and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to March 2020.
“Home prices have held relatively steady in our region since the COVID-19 situation worsened in March,” Gerber said.
Sales of detached homes in April 2020 reached 388, a 33.8 per cent decrease from the 586 detached sales recorded in April 2019. The benchmark price for detached properties is $1,462,100. This represents a 2.3 per cent increase from April 2019 and a 0.8 per cent increase compared to March 2020.
Sales of apartment homes reached 503 in April 2020, a 43.2 per cent decrease compared to the 885 sales in April 2019. The benchmark price of an apartment property is $685,500. This represents a 2.7 per cent increase from April 2019 and a 0.2 per cent decrease compared to March 2020.
Attached home sales in April 2020 totalled 218, a 39.1 per cent decrease compared to the 358 sales in April 2019. The benchmark price of an attached home is $796,800. This represents a 2.8 per cent increase from April 2019 and a 0.6 per cent increase compared to March 2020.
Watch the video – https://youtu.be/pW-5auiot0U
Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver
Here’s another report predicting the effects of Covid-19 on the housing market – https://www.bcrea.bc.ca/wp-content/uploads/Is-It-Different-This-Time-Recessions-and-the-BC-Housing-Market.pdf Lots of predictions out there. How does this affect you? Give me a call to discuss your situation. I can recommend an effective plan to maximize the benefits or limit the loss for you!